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Will Inflation Return in 2024 and What Does it Mean for the Grain Markets?

Speakers at the Water Street Solutions Edge Conference in Tucson, Ariz., say they expect inflation to return in 2024. Not only will it have an impact on the interest rate environment, but it could bring the fund or speculative community back in to buy commodities, which would be positive for the grain markets. Inflation cooled in 2023 following a series of interest rate hikes by the Fed. However, Arlan Suderman, chief commodities economist for StoneX, says there are already economic signs inflation could rear its ugly head in 2024. "With interest rates coming down, we've seen a resurgence in interest in buying houses once again at lower mortgage rates," he says. "Those are two sticky areas of inflation that can bring it back."

‍Read more about inflation and grain markets here

April 7, 2026
Changing diets and demographics creating new opportunities for U.S. wheat
Rising incomes, growing populations, and rapid industrialization is creating increased demand for wheat foods around the world.
April 7, 2026
Idaho ag economic impact hits records
The economic impact of agriculture in Idaho reached $44.5 billion in sales, 17.2% of the state’s total economic output.
April 7, 2026
What is the Most Important Asset on the Farm?
How much time do you spend making sure your equipment is properly maintained? From combines and drills to pickups and silos, the farm has spent a lot of money and you probably have a “correct” way to take care of the tools you’ve invested in. But what is the most important asset on the farm? Quick answer: you and the people around you. Do you allocate as much time and attention on those assets? Probably not.
April 7, 2026
ALERT: Warm Weather Threatens Wheat with Yield Loss
The warm winter weather throughout the state has experts concerned about increased fungal diseases creeping into fields and causing yield loss. Xianming Chen, USDA stripe rust expert in the PNW, is warning farmers to start checking their fields. Chen is predicting that stripe rust will be more widespread and extreme this year than in the past 15 years. The last particularly bad year for stripe rust was in 2011. Experts from the U.S. Wheat and Barley Scab Initiative are also warning about fusarium head blight and vomitoxin (DON) in winter wheat. USWBSI is reminding farmers that the best time to apply fungicides for FHB and DON management is at Feekes growth stage 10.51, when 50% of the main tillers have reached early anthesis (flowering) and up to seven (7) days following.
April 7, 2026
Impacts from Iran on Idaho Wheat Inputs
In the two weeks since the February 28 U.S. strikes on Iran, there have been jolts to the global economy. The most obvious adjustment for the majority of Americans will be at the gas pump as oil is manipulated and used as collateral. Beyond fuel, the current unrest in Iran has already started to punch agriculture in the gut in Idaho and across the country.
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