IDAHO WHEAT COMMISSION

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Grain Imports to Remain Crucial for Mexico

Mexico’s growing population and strong feed demand will keep the country a major grain importer in 2025-26, according to USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service. Wheat production is projected to fall 34% to just 1.7 million tons due to drought and low reservoir levels, pushing imports up 18% to 6.5 million tons. The U.S. remains Mexico’s top wheat supplier, with its market share climbing to 75%. Wheat consumption is forecast to increase 1% to 8.1 million tons, supported by population growth and tourism-related demand for bread, pasta, and baked goods. Mexico’s limited production capacity and rising consumption will sustain strong demand for U.S. grain exports, particularly wheat, corn, rice, and sorghum.