November 20, 2008

Summary of World Markets

  • Exports down among traditional suppliers.
  • New production areas competing for export market.
  • FSU & Black Sea producers will be long-term competitors.
  • World wheat stocks at 20-year low.
  • Lower wheat prices with periodic rallies.

Outlook for Idaho Wheat Growers

  • Compete on quality and customer satisfaction, not price.
  • Focus on varieties customers want to mill.
  • N. Idaho growers – export through Portland.
  • S. Idaho growers – Utah, S. California, Mexico, Portland, local mills, customer specific varieties.

World Outlook Highlights

  • Global wheat supply tightens U.S. production and exports forecast at 18-year low
  • Crop shortfalls restrain top 4 exporters
  • EU remains major importer but exports rebound
  • Non-traditional exporters continue to compete with the major exporters and restrain prices
  • Chinese imports limited by large stocks